On 22 Nov 2005, Joseph Bartlo <jbartlo@[EMAIL PROTECTED]
> posted some
news:4383A78A.93C9AEDA@[EMAIL PROTECTED]
> B Shanahan wrote:
>
>> Like any other fool, I can read a weather model output and see that a
>> pattern change is a comin'. However I'm not sold on the severity of
>> the cold, or even the duration. Did ALB actually make reference to
>> Dec 1989?? I really hope we don't repeat that winter. I think we
>> were in the 60s and 70s in CT for most of Jan & Feb - and I hadn't
>> even taken up golf yet! Today I'd be laughing and taking advantage
>> instead of moaning about it.
>
> Model forecasts are generally very accurate for the short term, often
> good in the the medium range (to about 7 days), but then the accuracy
> decreases quite a bit. That is the purpose of ensembles. So
> basically anything past a week or 2 required some guessing and luck -
> unless someone shows proof otherwise in the form of verifications.
>
That was actually very good Joseph.
